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Ceasefire between US, Iran raises hopes of recovery for Kashmir trade, tourism sectors

Ceasefire between US, Iran raises hopes of recovery for Kashmir trade, tourism sectors

Currency fluctuations compounded the strain, with a weaker rupee and rising input costs squeezing margins for exporters, according to traders.

Kashmir Impulse Desk

Srinagar, April 8

A ceasefire between the United States and Iran is offering cautious relief to businesses in Jammu and Kashmir after weeks of disruption linked to tensions in West Asia, with traders and tourism operators hoping for a gradual recovery.

The Kashmir Chamber of Commerce and Industry (KCC&I) said the truce could help stabilise markets that were rattled by uncertainty, supply chain disruptions and weakened demand during the conflict.

“We welcome the ceasefire and hope it helps restore economic stability in regions impacted by the tensions,” KCC&I President Javid Ahmad Tenga said.

He said the fallout from the conflict was felt across sectors in the region, where trade flows slowed, shipments were delayed and business sentiment weakened. 

Export-oriented industries such as handicrafts and horticulture were particularly affected, with overseas buyers adopting a wait-and-see approach.

Local exporters reported fewer orders and logistical hurdles during the period of heightened tensions. 

A Srinagar-based handicrafts exporter said uncertainty in international markets led clients to hold back purchases, while a fruit trader dealing in apple exports cited volatile freight costs and delays that strained perishable shipments.

Businesses also faced domestic challenges. 

The chamber pointed to irregular supplies of commercial LPG, which added pressure on hotels and restaurants already navigating a fragile recovery.

Tourism, a key pillar of the local economy, also saw a dip. 

Industry stakeholders said bookings slowed and cancellations rose as global uncertainty dampened travel sentiment. 

Even perceptions of instability in the wider region can influence tourist decisions, a hotelier in Srinagar said.

Currency fluctuations compounded the strain, with a weaker rupee and rising input costs squeezing margins for exporters, according to traders.

The chamber said the combined effect of these factors led to subdued market activity, cautious investment behaviour and slower economic momentum across sectors.

Tenga said businesses are hoping the ceasefire holds and leads to longer-term stability. 

“Sustained peace is essential for recovery and growth,” he said, adding that geopolitical developments in West Asia have a direct bearing on Jammu and Kashmir’s trade and remittance flows.

The chamber said lasting stability would help rebuild confidence, revive trade and ease supply chain pressures, allowing businesses in the region to regain momentum.

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